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Asian Economies Status Rise In The Global Economy
Author : Paul Hu
Submitted : 2011-12-27 17:40:51 Word Count : 672 Popularity: 0
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Japan's financial system, a direct hit by the financial crisis, smaller, but the real economy hit by the great European and American economic recession, recession even harder in Europe and America. However, the proximity and easier, the Japanese economy benefited from the expansion of domestic demand in Asia driven by emerging markets, rapid recovery in exports and stimulate economic recovery. The next 5 years, the Japanese economy will continue to "take off in Europe and America, into the Asia-Pacific" process, but the structural problems that will hinder their economic growth.
In the post-crisis era, based on the aging population, investment in infrastructure is limited and other structural defects, Japan can not count on domestic demand to stimulate economic recovery, deflation and productivity will always be troubled by the slow rise in Japan's economic development. Moreover, the Government of Japan are increasingly facing the challenge of rising debt ratios, the incentives will not sustainable. Japanese government debt in 2009 accounted for its 218% of GDP, ranking first in all OECD member countries, the future will continue to climb.
Japan's GDP based on a large scale, if the solvency problems of any national and international organizations also were unable to rescue. To avoid that into a debt crisis as Greece, Japan must develop long-term fiscal framework and financial operating strategy, a clear policy to cut debt. Rely on policies to stimulate domestic demand growth will necessarily be limited.
With advantages of the Japanese economy can sustain growth. Increase if China, India and other populous countries in the integration efforts for the economic development of Asia to provide technical, financial and high-end products, support, Japan's exports are still expected to contribute to sustained economic growth. Overall, the future average annual growth rate of the Japanese economy is expected to reach 2%.
Differentiation in the steady growth in emerging markets,
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In the financial crisis, the emerging economies with large population base, in early trade surplus accumulated considerable wealth, fiscal and financial system is also more healthy, in a crisis to take a decisive and effective measures, so the economy to maintain continued to grow. The next 5 years, the increasingly strong domestic demand will be to promote sustained and rapid growth of emerging economies, a major power, and become a driving focus of global economic growth.
The next 5 years, the huge population base to bring an increasingly strong consumer demand is still huge room for development of infrastructure and gradual improvement in the international environment, will promote the sustained and rapid growth in Asian emerging markets.
Latin America, Middle East and Africa performed relatively well. Major development for the global economy of energy, resources to support the Latin America, Middle East and Africa regions, the development of Asian economies will be the key to sustained economic growth. In this financial crisis, these areas fall mainly by the impact of commodity prices, shrinking exports; the same time, reduced income from overseas remittances, poverty has intensified; capital inflows decline, the investment be affected. However, driven by Asian demand, commodity prices rebound, as these areas provide a good environment for economic recovery. The next 5 years, new energy, new materials technology development is still difficult to grow to sufficient size, would threaten the sustained economic development in these areas. With the inflow of international capital re-exports picked up again, still maintained a steady growth in these areas.
Emerging markets in Eastern Europe by both the financial crisis, banking crisis in Western Europe, international capital outflows, as commodity prices fall the U.S., Europe needs a sharp decline in the impact. The next 5 years, Eastern European emerging market economies will be more bumpy road to recovery, the potential level of growth greater than the decline before the crisis. Particularly in Western Europe to overcome the weak economy and restore its own financial system and to achieve the multiple challenges of economic restructuring, take time.
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